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ヴェロキラプトルを叩き起こしたイラン、ウォルフォウィッツも登場でネオコン復活か2009/09/29 08:28

ポール・ヴェロキラプトル・ウォルフォウィッツ


あのポール・ウォルフォウィッツが英フィナンシャル・タイムズ紙に登場。

イランの核プログラムに対するオバマのアプローチを並外れた柔軟性とチクリ。
イランは平和的な核開発という日本モデルに続くことを切望するなどと言っている。
おいおい、そんなことで安心できるものかと警告。
さらには小沢一郎の核武装可能論にも言及。
それでも恐怖を引き起こさなかった日本の平和的外交政策との違いを指摘しています。

ウォルフォウィッツは軍需産業ととっても仲良し。
2008年には米国台湾・ビジネス・カウンシルの会長に就任し、ちょうど今頃武器商談中。

ヴェロキラプトルが次に狙うは小沢商談か。
参院選後に東アジアで何かが起こる。


<関連記事引用>

Confront Tehran now in pursuit of a nuclear-free world
By Paul Wolfowitz
Published: September 27 2009 23:16 | Last updated: September 27 2009 23:16
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d75d1d86-ab91-11de-9be4-00144feabdc0.html

Barack Obama has displayed extraordinary flexibility in his approach to Iran’s nuclear programme. He has supported Iran’s “right to a peaceful nuclear energy programme”, declared his willingness to meet unconditionally and extended his own deadlines for Iran to begin serious negotiations. He has maintained that position despite Iran’s bellicose rhetoric and despite congressional pressure for sanctions.

Although it has produced no positive response from Tehran, the Obama administration’s flexibility has clearly demonstrated that the obstacle to resolving the Iranian nuclear issue is not a US refusal to negotiate. Even under the Bush administration, the US participated regularly in multilateral talks with Iran. But if there was any ambiguity about the previous administration’s willingness to negotiate, there has been none whatsoever about the Obama administration.

Last week’s revelation of a covert uranium enrichment facility makes it clear that Iran’s rulers are pursuing nuclear weapons. Common sense suggested this long ago. Iran’s proven reserves of natural gas are the world’s second largest (after Russia) and four times those of the US. With two-thirds of those reserves still undeveloped, expensive nuclear power plants are a waste of resources. Even for nuclear energy, it would be cheaper to purchase reactor fuel rather than enrich uranium. Most tellingly, why would Iran be developing long-range ballistic missiles if its nuclear intentions were peaceful? And why build a covert centrifuge plant that is too small to be of commercial use and at a military base? As a senior official of the Obama administration said last week: “Our information is that the Iranians began this facility with the intent that it be secret, and therefore giving them an option of producing weapons-grade uranium without the international community knowing about it.”

In 1994, proponents of the Framework Agreement with North Korea argued that Pyongyang would not cheat because the risks of being caught were too great. As it turned out, even the chances of being caught were not great and the consequences proved to be negligible. When the Clinton administration found signs of a secret facility in 1998, it was unable to prove it, perhaps because the North Koreans had cleaned up the site (as the Iranians are probably doing now). Definitive proof of North Korea’s centrifuge programme did not come to light until 2002, but when charged with this violation, Pyongyang rapidly broke out of the 1994 restrictions, reprocessed the previously “safeguarded” plutonium and tested a nuclear device. Faced with the prospect that North Korea could always do something worse, the US kept making concessions in order to resume negotiations.

Iran has said that it simply aspires to follow the Japanese model of peaceful nuclear development, but that is not as reassuring as it sounds. In 2002, Ichiro Ozawa, now general-secretary of Japan’s new ruling party, said: “We have plenty of plutonium in our nuclear power plants, [enough to] produce 3,000 to 4,000 nuclear warheads.” Given Japan’s decidedly peaceful foreign policy, those stockpiles do not occasion great fears. No one expects Japan to kick out International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors and abrogate safeguards as North Korea did. The same cannot be said of Iran, which is steadily accumulating its own break-out capability by producing low-enriched uranium. Thus, any agreement that allows Iran continued enrichment of uranium is likely to repeat the unsatisfactory experience with North Korea, in which violations are followed by new concessions to bring the violator back to the negotiating table.

Normally even the toughest sanctions would be unlikely to persuade Tehran to abandon its pursuit of nuclear weapons. The Iranian economy is far less vulnerable to sanctions than North Korea and Iran’s rulers have shown that they care little if their people suffer. However, circumstances in Iran are no longer normal. The push for reform in Iran that began with the protests against June’s election fraud offers an opportunity to bring the Iranian people into the debate about the true costs of their rulers’ nuclear ambitions.

To do so, the world must talk less about Iran’s right to peaceful nuclear energy and more about how the regime is wasting the people’s resources. It means doing what we can to support the forces of reform in Iran, both symbolically and practically. Unfortunately, it also means bringing home to the Iranian people that they will pay an increasingly high price for their rulers’ nuclear ambitions. That means the toughest possible sanctions, and soon. Time is running out. The suggestion that Iran can avoid sanctions without abandoning uranium enrichment, simply by opening its illegal facilities to inspection, will be interpreted by Tehran as a sign of weakness. Even this approach may not be enough to persuade Israel not to act on its own, but at least it offers some prospect of success. And it is more than Israel’s security that is at risk. Iran’s Arab neighbours are also deeply worried that nuclear weapons would embolden Iran’s support for terrorism, subversion and even conventional military aggression. Americans need to consider that nuclear weapons might embolden Tehran to provide sanctuary to al-Qaeda or other terrorists. Or, more catastrophically, even to provide them covertly with nuclear weapons.

The pursuit of a nuclear-free world involves substantial risks. Those risks could only be justified if they eliminate the threat of terrorists acquiring nuclear weapons and the threat of a nuclear war between regional powers. Iran is a crucial test of whether the path to a nuclear-free world is a realistic one or simply a dangerous pipe dream.

The writer is a Visiting Scholar at the American Enterprise Institute


<米国台湾・ビジネス・カウンシル(US-Taiwan Business Council)最新情報>

US-Taiwan Business Council - Helping Companies Conduct Business and Trade with Taiwan
http://www.us-taiwan.org/

September 27-29 2009 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference
http://www.us-taiwan.org/pressrelease/2009september09defenseconferenceannouncement.pdf

Taiwan-U.S. defense industry meeting to be held in Virginia
Central News Agency
2009-09-22 07:14 PM
http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1063544&lang=eng_news

Washington, Sept.21 (CNA) An annual conference on Taiwan-U.S.
strategic security cooperation issues will be held in Charlottesville, Virginia Sept.27-29, organizers said Monday.

Now in its eighth year, the U.S.-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference will bring together senior officials and academics in the field from the two countries to discuss strategic security issues of mutual concern, organizers said.

The U.S.-Taiwan Business Council, which groups American companies with interests in Taiwan, has been organizing the event annually since 2002 when then-Defense Minister Tang Yiau-min represented Taiwan at the first meeting in St.Petersburg, Florida.

Rupert Hammond-Chambers, president of the U.S.-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference, said Monday the agenda for this year's meeting will focus on U.S.-Taiwan defense cooperation and Taiwan's future defense and security needs.

The conference will discuss Taiwan's military transformation and strategic changes, military modernization, integration and defense innovation, Hammond-Chambers said.

Wallace "Chip" Gregson, U.S. assistant secretary of defense in charge of Asia-Pacific security affairs; David Shear, deputy assistant secretary of state in charge of East Asian and Pacific affairs; and Chao Shih-chang, Taiwan's deputy defense minister, will deliver keynote speeches at the conference.

Paul Wolfowitz, a former U.S. deputy defense secretary who is now chairman of the U.S.-Taiwan Business Council, will moderate at the upcoming conference.

Scholars, experts and defense industry representatives from both countries will also attend the meeting.


<画像引用>

Paul Wolfowitz, velociraptor
http://www.economist.com/people/PrinterFriendly.cfm?Story_ID=976036

<関連記事>

ダボスを喰らうヴェロキラプトル
http://www.yorozubp.com/0202/020219.htm

コメント

_ YS ― 2009/10/01 02:02

_ YS ― 2009/10/09 09:00

現時点でネオコン復活に気付いているのは日経さんだけ。

<関連記事引用>

米ネオコン勢力、オバマ批判続々、イランとの対話「弱腰だ」。
2009/10/08日本経済新聞朝刊

 米ブッシュ前政権の外交を主導し、いまはシンクタンクなどに在籍する新保守主義派(ネオコン)勢力が、オバマ大統領の外交を批判する論文を主要紙に相次いで投稿している。政権の対話・協調路線を「弱腰」と切り捨て、安易に妥協すべきではないと主張している。

 ウルフォウィッツ元国防副長官(現アメリカン・エンタープライズ研究所客員研究員)は「オバマ氏はイランの核開発に対し、ただならぬ柔軟性を見せている」(9月27日付の英フィナンシャル・タイムズ紙)と主張し、平和利用ならイランの「核」を認めるオバマ政権の姿勢をけん制した。

 ブッシュ前大統領の元スピーチライターで「悪の枢軸」の命名者として知られるデビッド・フラム氏は、大統領選中にアフガニスタン増派を主張しながら、現在はためらいの姿勢を見せるオバマ大統領について「近年まれに見る『百八十度転換』ではないか」(1日の米ザ・ウィーク誌電子版)と厳しく批判した。

 米FOXテレビが最近発表した最新の世論調査では、69%が「オバマ大統領はイランに弱腰過ぎる」と回答。ネオコンの主張は米国民の一定の支持を得ているようだ。(国際部 森安健)

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_ 米流時評 - 2009/09/29 22:26


   ||| 核施設暴露で孤立化するイラン |||
 国際協定を3度も破棄したイランの核施設に、国連の経済制裁強化を図るオバマ
 ブッシュ時代のイラン核摩擦との相違点: 英仏に加えロシア・中国も包囲網に

ブッシュが退位して、オバマの時代へ。
いよいよ本格的な中東平和の道程が見えてきた……
と思った矢先の、イランの核の陰謀暴露。

そのショックもまだ覚めやらぬ昨日今日と、イランの砂漠では、オバマに秘密核施設を暴露されて、反撃にトチ狂った Qods イラン革命防衛軍が速攻連発で、ミサイル発射実験に突っ走っております。

 当初の日曜早朝には、短距離ミサイルの連射で小...

_ 米流時評 - 2009/09/29 22:27


   ||| 核施設暴露で孤立化するイラン |||
 国際協定を3度も破棄したイランの核施設に、国連の経済制裁強化を図るオバマ
 ブッシュ時代のイラン核摩擦との相違点: 英仏に加えロシア・中国も包囲網に

ブッシュが退位して、オバマの時代へ。
いよいよ本格的な中東平和の道程が見えてきた……
と思った矢先の、イランの核の陰謀暴露。

そのショックもまだ覚めやらぬ昨日今日と、イランの砂漠では、オバマに秘密核施設を暴露されて、反撃にトチ狂った Qods イラン革命防衛軍が速攻連発で、ミサイル発射実験に突っ走っております。

 当初の日曜早朝には、短距離ミサイルの連射で小...